Resolution & Settlement

How Markets Resolve

Every prediction market has a defined question, a set of resolution criteria, and a resolution source. When the real-world outcome is determined, the market resolves -- meaning it is officially settled as either YES or NO.

Resolution is handled by the underlying exchange, not by Vezta directly. Each exchange has its own resolution process:

• Polymarket uses decentralized oracle systems (including UMA's optimistic oracle) where designated resolvers verify real-world outcomes. Resolution sources typically include major news agencies such as the Associated Press, Reuters, and official government publications.
• Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange where resolution is determined by Kalshi's own resolution team based on the criteria published in each market's rules. When you hold Kalshi outcome tokens through DFlow, redemption follows Kalshi's resolution.

Binary Outcomes

Most prediction markets on Vezta are binary -- they resolve to one of two outcomes:

• YES wins -- the event described in the market question occurred
• NO wins -- the event did not occur

When the outcome is determined:

This binary payout structure is what makes prediction market pricing intuitive: the price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome.

Settlement Process

Resolution Tracking

Vezta runs a resolution-payout worker that watches active positions and updates them when the exchange resolves the underlying market. Resolved positions move automatically from your active list to the Resolved tab.

Timeframes

The time between an event's conclusion and full settlement varies:

• Fast resolution -- some markets resolve within minutes of the event (e.g., sports outcomes, binary data releases)
• Standard resolution -- most markets resolve within hours to a few days after the event
• Delayed resolution -- complex events may take longer if the outcome is disputed or official results are delayed
• Short-duration markets -- 5-minute Polymarket and 15-minute Kalshi crypto Up/Down markets resolve at the cycle boundary

Each market page displays the expected resolution date and the resolution source so you know when and how the market will settle.

Viewing Resolved Positions

Resolved positions appear in your Portfolio under the Resolved tab. Each entry shows:

• The market name and question
• Your side (YES or NO)
• Number of shares held
• Your entry price
• The resolution outcome
• Your payout amount
• Realized PnL for that position

Resolution Criteria

Every market page includes a Resolution Info section at the bottom that describes:

• Resolution source -- which authorities or data feeds determine the outcome
• Resolution date -- when the market is expected to resolve
• Market rules -- the full description of what constitutes a YES or NO outcome
• Contract details -- the underlying exchange and contract identifiers (Polymarket conditionId / Kalshi event_ticker + market_ticker)

Always review the resolution criteria before trading. Markets may have specific rules about edge cases, timing cutoffs, or what counts as a valid outcome.