AI Signals
AI-powered predictions and signal scoring
Overview
AI Signals provides machine-learning-powered predictions on prediction markets. Each signal includes a confidence score, the AI model's track record, and supporting analysis to help you make more informed trading decisions.
AI Signals is available as a dedicated page in the main navigation and also surfaced contextually on individual market detail pages.
How Signals Work
Vezta's AI models analyze a combination of factors to generate predictions:
- Historical price data -- patterns in how similar markets have traded over time
- News sentiment -- real-time analysis of news articles and social media posts related to the market topic
- Market microstructure -- order book depth, trade flow patterns, and whale activity
- Cross-market correlation -- how related markets on different exchanges are pricing the same event
Each signal produces a prediction (bullish or bearish on the market's YES outcome) along with a confidence level.
Signal Components
Every AI signal includes:
| Field | Description |
|---|---|
| Market | The prediction market the signal applies to |
| Direction | Bullish (favoring YES) or Bearish (favoring NO) |
| Confidence | A percentage score indicating the model's certainty |
| Model | Which AI model generated the signal |
| Accuracy | The model's historical accuracy on similar markets |
| Generated at | Timestamp of when the signal was created |
Model Statistics
Each AI model maintains a public track record so you can evaluate its reliability:
- Overall accuracy -- percentage of past signals where the predicted direction was correct
- Accuracy by category -- performance broken down by market category (Politics, Crypto, Sports, etc.)
- Signal count -- total number of predictions the model has made
- Recent performance -- accuracy over the last 7 and 30 days
AI signals are informational tools to supplement your own analysis. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for trading decisions. Always do your own research.
Using Signals
On the AI Signals Page
The dedicated signals page (/ai-signals) shows all recent signals in a sortable, filterable list. You can filter by:
- Market category
- Confidence level (high, medium, low)
- Time period
- Model
On Market Detail Pages
When viewing a specific market, any active AI signals for that market appear in the analysis section. This gives you the AI perspective alongside the chart, order book, and news data.
Acting on Signals
If a signal aligns with your own analysis, you can navigate directly to the market from the signal card and place a trade. Signals are designed to surface opportunities you might have missed, not to replace your judgment.
Signal Freshness
Signals are generated on a regular schedule and also triggered by significant market events (large price moves, volume spikes, or breaking news). Stale signals are clearly marked so you know whether the analysis is still current relative to the latest market conditions.